Ethics Commission Recommends Swift German Nuclear Phaseout

on 11 May 2011, 2:34 PM |

BERLIN—Germany should phase out nuclear power by 2021, according to a leaked draft of a report from the "Ethics Commission on Safe Energy Supply" created by Chancellor Angela Merkel in the wake of the Fukushima catastrophe. The commission is chaired by Klaus Toepfer, former head of the United Nations Environment Programme, and Matthias Kleiner, head of the German Research Foundation, the country's largest funding agency. The 17-member commission also includes representatives from industry, research, and politics, as well as a Roman Catholic cardinal and a protestant bishop.

The 28-page draft, a copy of which ScienceInsider has obtained, recommends permanently shutting down the country’s seven oldest nuclear reactors, which were taken off line shortly after the problems at Fukushima became clear. The temporary shutdown has demonstrated that the 8.5 gigawatts produced by the reactors can be easily replaced by other sources, the report says.

In addition, the commission “recommends a complete withdrawal from nuclear energy.” The experience at Fukushima “demonstrates the limitations of human disaster-preparedness and emergency measures,” even “in a highly organized, high-tech country like Japan.” A total withdrawal “is necessary to rule out risks in principle. It is possible because less risky alternatives exist,” the report says. With new, more-efficient power plants run on renewable sources, as well as natural gas and coal, a phaseout is possible without increasing Germany’s carbon dioxide emissions and without causing significant economic problems.

The commission says that a 10-year “exit corridor” is a reasonable time frame for politics and society to make the necessary changes. “In the best case the exit corridor could be shortened so that the last nuclear plant could be taken off-line significantly sooner,” it says.

A law enacted in 2002 would have closed all of Germany’s 17 nuclear power plants by 2023, but Merkel’s coalition passed a new law last autumn that delayed that phaseout by more than a decade. When the Fukushima crisis erupted, Merkel announced that she was suspending the law for 3 months to give the government time to analyze the safety of the country’s reactors and to rethink the phaseout’s timing. The commission’s report, due at the end of the month, is expected to strongly influence the direction the government takes.

The leaked report, which carries the file tag “living document,” could undergo significant changes before the official version is released at the end of the month. The commission is due to meet again this weekend.

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